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Tuesday, January 10, 2012

The Fate of The Euro To Be Decided At The Gates of Rome

The ratings agency Fitch has decreed that the fate of the Euro will be decided at the gates of Rome, and has put Italy on notice that it faces a downgrade at the end of this month.

For good measure, Fitch's head of rating has stated that if Italian debt is restructured it will mark the end of the Euro as a reserve currency.

Given that a downgrade of Italy will increase the likelihood of a debt restructuring, Fitch has placed itself in the role of judge, jury and executioner.

In other news, the French are determined to push through a financial transactions tax; despite the fact that this tax has split the German coalition.

As European dictators learned in the past, a war on two fronts (in this case three fronts, Greece, Italy and France/Germany) is unwinnable. The European political "elite" need to focus their minds, and determine exactly what it is they really need to do, can do and want to do in the short term.

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