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Monday, September 14, 2009

The False Dawn

The Ernst & Young Item Club has warned that the recent rise in house prices may in fact be a false dawn, they go on to say that property values will not return to their 2007 peak for at least another five years.

However, The Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML) report that the number of loans granted for house purchase in July was 19% higher than in July last year.

Seemingly, in the eyes of CML, this is the "first material annual growth" since early 2007.

The CML do admit that banks are still rationing the amount that they lend:

"The scarcity of mortgage supply and tough lending criteria is making it particularly difficult for first time buyers to enter the market.

Given that they typically purchase cheaper properties, this will have significant implications for those looking to trade up, clogging up the market and limiting the number of transactions taking place

The banks, as they have always done, will only ever look after their own interests. Only if it is in their interests to kick start the property market, by loosening their lending conditions, will they do so.

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