Showing posts with label quadriga. Show all posts
Showing posts with label quadriga. Show all posts

Friday, May 12, 2017

Greek Bailout Deal Delayed Again

Unsurprisingly the much vaunted Greek bailout deal is no nearer fruition.

The IMF is dragging its heels. The Fund’s managing director, Christine Lagarde, said that she expects eurozone lenders to be “far more specific” in their commitment to a debt-relief package for Greece.

Quoted by Keep Talking Greece, she said:
We will carry on working on this debt relief package.

There is not enough clarity yet but I hope that the European partners will continue to progress in that.

We have two issues, policies which are being voted on now, I hope, by the Greek authorities. Much progress has been made and we certainly hope that the Europeans will be far more specific in terms of debt relief, which is also an imperative.” 
In other words, the Quadriga and Greece are still nowhere near a deal.

No surprises there then!

Wednesday, April 26, 2017

Tsipras Demands Debt Relief

Alexis Tsipras, Greek prime minister, insists that Greece will legislate additional tax and pension reforms demanded by the Quadriga.

However, no legislation will be passed until a deal on debt relief was in place.

Notwithstanding this, Tsipras is confident that a deal to be wrapped up by May 22.

How many times have people expressed "confidence" that a deal for Greece would be "wrapped up"?

Delusion at the very height of government!

Tuesday, April 04, 2017

Greek Bailout Talks Grind To a Halt


Last week I warned people not to believe the hype over the alleged progress and agreement on the Greek bailout talks.

As can be seen, I was right to issue that warning.

Greece is unwilling and incapable of implementing the reforms that the Quadriga are demanding.

Wednesday, March 29, 2017

Greek Creditors Allegedly Reach Preliminary Agreement


How many times have we heard this before?

Don't believe the hype!

Tuesday, March 28, 2017

#Grexit Looms Large Again - Greek Banks Haemorrhaging Cash

Greece’s beleaguered banking system has taken a fresh hit from the country’s shaky bailout talks this year, registering its worst deposit outflows since the height of its debt crisis in the summer of 2015.

The FT reports that the latest figures from the European Central Bank showed households and businesses pulled €1.1bn from the country’s lenders last month, moderating from the €1.7bn withdrawn at the start of the year but marking the worst two-monthly outflow since the country was bought to the brink of a eurozone exit nearly two years ago.

For why?

There is no sign of agreement between Greece and the Quadriga wrt the bailout. Indeed there is no sign of agreement between the IMF and other members of the Quadriga over the terms of the bailout!


Wednesday, February 08, 2017

Greece's Oncoming Explosion

The International Monetary Fund has warned that Greece’s debts are on an “explosive” path, despite years of bailouts and half hearted economic reforms.

This oncoming explosion existentially threatens the eurozone itself.

The solution according to the IMF is debt forgiveness.

However, as noted many times before on this site, neither Germany nor the other members of the Quadriga (sans IMF) have forgiveness in their hearts.

Jeroen Dijsselbloem, the Eurogroup President repeated the mantra saying there would be no Greek debt forgiveness and dismissing the IMF assessment of Greece’s growth prospects as overly pessimistic.

This will not end well!

Wednesday, April 27, 2016

Eurogroup Cancelled

The Quadriga and Greece have been unable to agree on the list of contingency measures worth 3.6 billion euro demanded by the IMF, as such Thursday's Eurogroup meeting has been cancelled.

Greece has not specified where the cuts would be made.

When will Greece realise that leaving the Eurozone is its best option?

Tuesday, April 05, 2016

Lagarde's "Good Faith"

International Monetary Fund Managing Director Christine Lagarde has said that her team was continuing to negotiate with Greece "in good faith" over its debt issues.

She told Bloomberg TV the aim was to restore Greek competitiveness within a framework of debt sustainability.

Quoted by Reuters, she said:
"The objectives have not changed.

Everything has to add up."
Lagarde is of course being somewhat disingenuous, for she has neglected to mention that Germany has said "nein" to any for of debt relief for Greece.

Without debt relief, the IMF will not remain part of the Quadriga. Which brings us back to the "credit event" that the IMF was plotting, in order to bring about a solution to the Greek/German impasse. This "event" has, of course, been hotly denied by Lagarde.

However, she would deny that wouldn't she?

Tuesday, January 12, 2016

Greece's Red Line On Pensions

Greece is in the headlines again, as Labour Minister George Katrougalos told The Wall Street Journal that Greece won't cut pensions despite demands by the Quadriga that they do so.
“For us it is a red line not to reduce pensions for a 12th consecutive time.”
The forthcoming talks with the Quadriga will be interesting.

Wednesday, December 02, 2015

Alleged Greek Agreement Reached



All very well and nice, except that it's not in Dijsselbloem's gift to judge the validity or otherwise of any "agreement" made; it's down to the Quadriga.

Friday, November 20, 2015

Greek Government Wins Bailout Vote - Barely

The Greek parliament approved a reform bill on Thursday to secure further bailout funds from the Quadriga.

However, Syriza's majority shrank to three seats after two dissenting lawmakers were expelled.

The bill, outlining regulation on tax arrears and home foreclosures, paves the way for the disbursement of 2 billion euros to pay state arrears and a further 10 billion euro to recapitalise Greece's top four banks.

This victory will not be the end of the story.

Wednesday, November 18, 2015

Greece To Receive €12bn, Probably

Greece has reached an agreement to unlock the first major tranche of rescue money as per its €86bn international bailout programme.

Athens, seemingly, has successfully passed the 48 "milestones" demanded by the Quadriga, freeing up €12bn.

€2bn will go to the government, and €10bn will be used to try to recapitalise the country's banking system.

In theory the Greek parliament will pass the remaining legislative measures on Thursday. This will then pave the way for the cash release by the end of the week.

What could possibly go wrong?

Monday, November 16, 2015

Greece Having Problems Implementing Program



It is hardly surprising that Greece is having problems implementing the Quadriga's imposed program.

Monday, November 09, 2015

Greece Fails To Impress Quadriga


Unsurprisingly the wheels are falling off the Greek bailout again, as Greece battles to secure the release of €2bn in bail-out cash.

Despite assurances over the weekend, based on hope rather than reality, by Greece that the tranche of money would be released, it hasn't.

It seems that Greek finance ministry officials have failed to convince Greece's creditors that their plans added up, delaying disbursement for at least another week.

One of the main sticking points centre around laws to ease the process of home repossessions for indebted Greeks. The Quadriga are demanding that Greek residences valued above €120,000 be subject to the country's foreclosure laws, from the current level of €200,000.

However, Syriza has resisted the demand for fear of exposing thousands more people to the threat of losing their property.

Additionally, Greece does not want to impose a 23% tax on private schools and other issues surrounding VAT.

As Pascal Saint-Amans, director of tax policy at the Organisation for Economic Development (OECD), warned there are no “quick fixes” for Greece's endemic tax avoidance problems. He is also very sceptical about Greece's ability to reform its third world tax system.

He is quoted by the Telegraph:

"The challenges in Greece are so big.

It's about the complete lack of compliance, it's about a very weak tax administration, it's about the fact that paying taxes remains something that people don't want to do because they don't see how the money is spent.

Very often as tax people we lose sight of the fact that tax is just a means to fund a society. The reforms must take both into account”
Thus until Greece fundamentally reforms its tax collection system, it hasn't got a hope in hell's chance of moving forward. That will require a radical change of mindset by the Greek people, something they are probably not prepared to do.

Monday, October 19, 2015

The Quadriga Cometh!


Tuesday, August 11, 2015

Greece's "Small Issues"

Greece's finance minister, Euclid Tsakalotos,claims that a broad agreement has been reached with the Quadriga....except that:.

"Two or three small issues" are yet to be resolved with lenders.

It is always the "small" issues that destroy the alleged deals with Greece!

Monday, August 10, 2015

Draft Greek Deal

Allegedly the Quadriga and Greece have drafted a bailout deal that they are happy with.

Now ALL that remains to be done is for the Greek parliament and members of the eurozone to agree to it.

Finland has accepted it with a few words of reality, namely that it doesn't think it will work and that the best option is still Grexit!

The algos will feed well in the coming days, as contradictory headlines spew forth!

Thursday, July 30, 2015

Greece Reverts To Barter Economy

It seems that despite the "benign" intentions of the Quadriga, Greece is slipping back into a barter economy.

This will not end well!