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Thursday, September 20, 2012

Stagnation Abounds

The purchasing managers indexes (PMIs), released today make depressing reading.

Reuters reports that the composite Eurozone PMI fell to 45.9 in September, from 46.3 in August. A level of less than 50 denotes contraction.

The ongoing decline in PMI indicates that the ECB "plan" to buy Eurozone debt has not impressed companies, or restored their faith in an upturn.

It is not just Europe that is suffering, the ongoing recession in Europe has negatively impacted China (seen by many as the last best hope for pump priming a global economic recovery). Although the China manufacturing PMI rose in September to 47.8 from August's nine-month low of 47.6, it remains below 50 which indicates that Chinese growth is slowing/stalling.

In theory China and the Eurozone should work together to try to address their mutual problems. Unfortunately, China is less than pleased that there is still an arms embargo and that its products are subject to tariffs.

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