Barclays £12.8BN Hole

Barclays has gone cap in hand to its shareholders today for £5.8BN via a rights issue, in order to help it plug a £12.8BN capital shortfall arising from the new Prudential Regulation Authority (PRA) imposed safety buffer.

The Telegraph reports that rights issue will allow existing investors to buy one new share for every four they currently own at a price of 185p, a discount of 40% to they bank's closing share price yesterday. 

Barclays will also issue £2BN of bonds that are turned into shares or wiped out if the bank gets into trouble.

Additionally in its six months results for the first half of this year, Barclays has set aside £1.35BN against further PPI claims, bringing its total compensation fund to just under £4BN, and a further £650M for interest rate swap redress, increasing its provision to £1.5BN.

Barclays chief executive Antony Jenkins is quoted by the BBC, in a dig at the PRA, warns that plugging the hole will have a negative impact on the economy:

"It means Barclays will provide fewer financial transactions to big companies, life insurers and pension funds, inter alia, to help those giant institutions reduce their risks. And to be clear that will represent a tightening of credit for those customers, so there may be a negative economic impact."

Barclays share price is currently down 7% on the day.

Ever Rising Energy Bills

Ed Davey, the Energy Secretary, has pleaded with energy companies to explain their profits ie to be more "transparent".

Ofgem has also been criticised in a report by MPs on the Energy Committee, for failing to do enough to tackle profiteering by energy companies.

That's all very well, up to a point. However, the MPs seem to forget that taxes and green energy surcharges also add to the financial burdens of the hapless energy consumers.

UK Economy Grows By 0.6%

The UK economy grew by 0.6% in the second quarter compared to the first three months of the year, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

George Osborne tweeted the following reaction:

"GDP stats better than forecast.Britain's holding its nerve, we're sticking to our plan, the economy's on the mend.But still a long way to go"

However, as I always caution, when it comes to ONS statistics never trust them. They are always out of date and subject to revision.

In the meantime whilst people crack open a can of lager to celebrate the modest signs of economic recovery in the UK, let us not forget that China frets when growth bumps along at a "mere" 7%!

Local Lending Data For 10,000 Postcodes

The government have announced that the UK’s biggest lenders will reveal how much they lend at a local level across 10,000 postcodes.

The new data, published for the first time by the end of this year, will allow businesses and the public to see how the banking and building society sectors are serving the wider economy, and in what areas of the UK there less lending.

The data will be published by the British Bankers’ Association (BBA) and the Council of Mortgage Lenders on a quarterly basis and show the outstanding stock of lending that has been committed to customers across three categories:

• loans and overdrafts to SMEs
• mortgages
• unsecured personal loans (excluding credit cards)

Each postcode will be broken down by category to show the exact lending being made to each.

All very well maybe, but why delay it until the end of the year?

RBS Fined £5.6M

RBS has been fined £5.6M by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) for "incorrectly reporting transactions they made in wholesale markets".

Seemingly, between 2007 and 2013, RBS either didn't report or incorrectly reported approximately 45 million transactions!

China's 7% Bottom Line

China's Premier, Li Keqiang, has underpinned global markets by stating that China’s “bottom line” for GDP growth is 7%, and the nation can’t let growth go below that.

Seven percent is not too shabby at all!

I would note that had a similar statement been issued by the ECB, wrt there being a bottom line for growth for the Eurozone (albeit with a bottom line of growth of far less than 7%), no one would have believed it!

Chinese Growth Falls To 7.5%

As expected China's economic growth slowed to 7.5% in the second quarter of the year.

The Chinese statistics bureau said the slowdown was partially due to deliberate efforts for structural reform and that a slower pace of growth was preferable in the long term.

Sheng Laiyun, spokesman for the National Bureau of Statistics, is quoted by the Telegraph:

"Some measures, including the intensified property tightening campaign, new rules to curb misuse of public funds and the exit some previous stimulus policies, will inevitably have some impact on growth in the short term, but they will benefit our economy in the long run."

Were this any other country such a rate of growth would be considered to be excellent.

The reality is that exceptional levels of growth, such as this, cannot continue indefinitely. Given the size of China and its economy, growth in excess of 7% isn't too shabby at all.
 

One In 20 Households Rely On Payday Loans

The Telegraph reports that the Aviva Family Finances Report published today notes that one in 20 households is "relying" on payday loans to get by.

Two weeks ago the Office of Fair Trading referred the £2BN industry to the Competition Commission, after uncovering evidence of "widespread irresponsible lending".

Last week the Financial Conduct Authority warned that it was considering a total advertising ban on payday loan companies as one of the options when it takes over regulation of the sector next April.

Controls and increased regulation are all very well. However, if hard pressed families who are not well served by mainstream lenders are unable to raise loans from payday loan companies their only other resort will be loan sharks.

The Verdict on Greece

Last week I wrote that Greece had been given a three day deadline to reassure Europe and the International Monetary Fund that it could deliver on conditions attached to its international bailout in order to receive the next tranche of aid.

Unsurprisingly, post deadline, the EU and IMF have given Greece a less than ringing endorsement noting that the outlook for Greece's bailout programme remains uncertain.

Reuters quotes the Troika:

"While important progress continues to be made, policy implementation is behind in some areas.

The authorities have committed to take corrective actions to ensure deliver of the fiscal targets for 2013-14 and achieve primary balance this year.

The mission and the authorities agreed that the macroeconomic outlook remains broadly in line with programme projections, with prospects for a gradual return to growth in 2014. The outlook remains uncertain, however."

As I warned last week, those with money in Greek bank accounts would be advised to withdraw it now before the jackals pounce. 

Careless Talk Costs Dollars

The Australian Dollar plunged to a three year low following a "light hearted slip of the tongue" by Glenn Stevens the Governor of Australia's Reserve Bank.

His crime?

In a "Ratner" moment Mr Stevens said in a speech on Wednesday that the bank’s board “deliberated for a very long time” before leaving the cash rate steady at its monthly meeting on Tuesday.

This comment caused the dollar to drop to US90.37 cent, and prompted some bank economists to change their forecasts and predict an interest rate cut in August.

In a damage limitation exercise the Reserve Bank insisted that the comment was “light-hearted”, this in turn lifted the dollar and prompted banks to withdraw their revised forecasts.

The bank’s deputy governor, Philip Lowe, was quoted by the Telegraph saying that the financial markets and the media had “misinterpreted” the comments, which were not supposed to be taken seriously.

"They were meant to be a light-hearted remark after what, he [Mr Stevens] reports to me, was a very light-hearted introduction.

I can confirm for you that the board did deliberate for a very long time. I can also confirm for you that it always deliberates for a very long time.”

Professionals such as Mr Steven should know that financial markets do not posses a sense of humour, especially in the current febrile atmosphere!

Greece's Day of The Jackal Looms

Reuters reports that Greece has been given three days to reassure Europe and the International Monetary Fund it can deliver on conditions attached to its international bailout in order to receive the next tranche of aid.

Europe and the IMF are unhappy with the progress that Greece has made towards reforming its public sector and improving its tax collection.

In the event that Greece misses the deadline or its promises fail to assuage its "bankers", then as sure as eggs are eggs the "solution" that was foisted upon Cyprus (ie a raid on bank accounts) will be foisted upon Greece.

Those with money in Greek bank accounts would be advised to withdraw it now, before the jackals pounce. 

David Drumm Apologises

David Drumm, ex CEO of the now defunct Anglo Irish Bank, has apologised for the language used in a phone call released by the Irish Independent.

All sorted then!

Happy Canada Day

Mark Carney starts work today as Governor of the Bank of England, ironically it is also Canada Day!